#26
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 51 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 PM AST Mon Oct 08 2018 ...LONG-LIVED LESLIE A LITTLE STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.9N 44.6W ABOUT 1050 MI...1690 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 135 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 44.6 West. Leslie is moving toward the southeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A slower motion toward the southeast or east-southeast is anticipated over the next couple of days, with a turn toward the east-northeast forecast on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Leslie could become a hurricane again on Wednesday. Leslie is a large tropical cyclone. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#27
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Leslie Advisory Number 53 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 09 2018 ...LESLIE HEADING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.3N 43.5W ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 150 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Leslie was located near latitude 31.3 North, longitude 43.5 West. Leslie is moving toward the south-southeast near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. A slower motion and a turn toward the east-northeast or northeast is expected by Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is anticipated, and Leslie is forecast to become a hurricane again on Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#28
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 55 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 PM AST Tue Oct 09 2018 ...EVERLASTING LESLIE BECOMES A HURRICANE AGAIN... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 42.6W ABOUT 1070 MI...1720 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 160 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 29.5 North, longitude 42.6 West. Leslie is moving toward the south-southeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue for the next day or so. A slower motion and a turn toward the east-northeast or northeast is expected by Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours before weakening is anticipated by the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#29
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 56 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 AM AST Wed Oct 10 2018 ...LESLIE NOW MOVING SOUTHWARD... ...FORECAST TO SLOWLY STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.6N 42.6W ABOUT 1105 MI...1780 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 175 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 42.6 West. Leslie is moving toward the south near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slower south- southeastward motion is expected today, followed by a east- northeastward motion tonight through Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, but weakening should begin by Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 981 mb (28.97 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#30
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 57 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Wed Oct 10 2018 ...LESLIE EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TODAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.8N 42.3W ABOUT 1130 MI...1820 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 150 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 27.8 North, longitude 42.3 West. Leslie is moving toward the south-southeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A slow turn toward the east-northeast is expected today, followed by a faster east-northeast motion from tomorrow through the early weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, but weakening should begin by Friday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 275 miles (445 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#31
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 59 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 PM AST Wed Oct 10 2018 ...LESLIE STRENGTHENS WHILE IT TURNS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.9N 41.1W ABOUT 1070 MI...1725 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 27.9 North, longitude 41.1 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h). This general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, with weakening forecast over the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#32
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 61 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Thu Oct 11 2018 ...LESLIE ACCELERATING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.1N 38.3W ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 29.1 North, longitude 38.3 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h), and this general motion with some increase in forward speed could begin by late Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours, but weakening is expected over the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#33
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 63A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 200 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ...LESLIE MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.4N 32.4W ABOUT 550 MI...885 KM SW OF THE AZORES ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM W OF MADEIRA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB...28.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 31.4 North, longitude 32.4 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 26 mph (43 km/h). A continued east-northeast motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through Friday. Leslie is forecast to slow down and turn toward the east or east-southeast by Saturday. On the forecast track, Leslie will pass near Madeira Island by late Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours, and Leslie could transition into a post-tropical low by Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 75 miles (120 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 969 mb (28.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island beginning early Saturday. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce storm total accumulations of 3 to 6 inches across Madeira Island through Sunday. This could lead to flash flooding and landslides over mountainous terrain. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday and could reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#34
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 65 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Fri Oct 12 2018 ...HURRICANE LESLIE CONTINUES RACING ACROSS THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... ...COULD BRING RAIN AND WIND IMPACTS TO PORTIONS OF THE IBERIAN PENINSULA SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.0N 28.0W ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM S OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 32 MPH...52 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 33.0 North, longitude 28.0 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 32 mph (52 km/h). A fast east-northeastward motion is expected to continue through Saturday morning, followed by a slower eastward motion late Saturday through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island on Saturday, and approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula on Sunday, and move inland over portions of the Iberian Peninsula late Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next day or so, but Leslie is expected to transition into a powerful post-tropical cyclone by Saturday night or early Sunday. Additional weakening is forecast on Sunday, with Leslie expected to dissipate by Monday after it moves inland. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km), mainly to the south of the center. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 971 mb (28.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island beginning early Saturday. Post-tropical Leslie will likely bring strong winds to portions of Portugal and Spain on Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) across southern and central portions of Portugal and Spain through Sunday. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will likely affect portions of the Azores, Madeira Island and the Canary Islands through Saturday and will reach the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco over the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST. Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#35
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Intermediate Advisory Number 67A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 200 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 ...LESLIE MOVING RAPIDLY EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.5N 18.5W ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NNW OF MADEIRA ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 36 MPH...57 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...976 MB...28.82 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 35.5 North, longitude 18.5 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 36 mph (57 km/h). A fast motion toward the east-northeast is expected to continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone later today. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). Madeira Island recently reported a wind gust of 39 mph (63 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 976 mb (28.82 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island this morning. Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal late today, and gale-force winds to portions of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rain amounts on the order of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 4 inches (100 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#36
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 68 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 ...LESLIE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY AS IT CONTINUES MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE IBERIAN PENINSULA... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.2N 16.7W ABOUT 580 MI...935 KM E OF THE AZORES ABOUT 680 MI...1090 KM E OF FAIAL ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 38 MPH...61 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Madeira Island Interests in the Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 6 to 12 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 36.2 North, longitude 16.7 West. Leslie is moving toward the east-northeast near 38 mph (61 km/h). A motion toward the east-northeast with a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected through Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Leslie will pass north of Madeira Island this morning, approach the southwestern portion of the Iberian Peninsula today, and move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone later today or tonight. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian Peninsula tonight, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate by Sunday night or Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected on Madeira Island this morning. Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal late today or tonight, and gale-force winds to portions of western Spain late today through early Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco today, continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM AST. Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#37
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 69 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 1100 AM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 ...DEFIANT LESLIE STILL A HURRICANE... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN LATER TODAY AND SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.0N 12.6W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM WSW OF LISBON PORTUGAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 38.0 North, longitude 12.6 West. Leslie is moving toward the northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a decrease in forward speed. On this track, the center of Leslie will be near the southwestern portion of the Iberian peninsula later today, and move inland over portions of Portugal and Spain tonight and Sunday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Leslie is expected to transition into a hurricane-force post-tropical cyclone during the next several hours. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian peninsula, and then dissipate by Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 979 mb (28.91 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal later today or tonight, and gale-force winds to portions of western Spain later today through early Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend, and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
#38
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Final Warning
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie Advisory Number 70 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132018 500 PM AST Sat Oct 13 2018 ...LONG-LIVED LESLIE PREPARING TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE WEST COAST OF PORTUGAL AS A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE... ...DANGEROUS WINDS, SURF, AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF PORTUGAL AND SPAIN TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.5N 9.5W ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM SSW OF PORTO PORTUGAL ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM N OF LISBON PORTUGAL MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 35 MPH...56 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Portugal and Spain should monitor the progress of Leslie. Additional information on this system can be found in products from the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere at www.ipma.pt. Interests in Spain should refer to products from the State Meteorological Agency at www.aemet.es. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Leslie was located near latitude 40.5 North, longitude 9.5 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 35 mph (56 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours with a decrease in forward speed. On this track, the center of Leslie will be near the west-central coast of Portugal in a few hours, and move inland over portions of central and northern Portugal tonight, and across northwestern and northern Spain Sunday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast after Leslie moves inland over the Iberian peninsula, and the cyclone is forecast to dissipate by Sunday afternoon or evening. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km) from the center. Lisbon, Portugal recently reported a wind gust to 40 mph (65 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Post-tropical Leslie will bring winds to near hurricane-force to portions of Portugal tonight, and gale-force winds to portions of western amd northern Spain later tonight through early Sunday. Please see products from your local meteorological service for more information on this hazard. RAINFALL: Leslie is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 1 to 3 inches (25 to 75 mm) with localized amounts up to 5 inches (125 mm) across portions of Portugal and Spain this weekend. This rainfall may lead to some instances of flash flooding. SURF: Swells generated by Leslie will continue to affect the Azores, Madeira Island, and the Canary Islands through the weekend, and will begin to affect the Atlantic coasts of Spain, Portugal, and Morocco today and continuing into Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Leslie. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024229.png
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David |
Closed Thread |
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