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#1
14th September 2018, 07:54
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Joyce - Atlantic Ocean
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 PM AST Thu Sep 13 2018 ...JOYCE BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.9N 44.4W ABOUT 1040 MI...1670 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 210 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 44.4 West. Joyce is moving toward the south-southwest near 7 mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue tonight. Joyce is forecast to gradually turn toward the northeast on Friday and then accelerate northeastward over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Joyce is now a tropical storm. Little change in strength is expected during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#2
14th September 2018, 20:35
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 AM AST Fri Sep 14 2018 ...JOYCE MOVING SOUTHWARD AND EXPECTED TO TURN EASTWARD BY TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.6N 44.6W ABOUT 1090 MI...1755 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was located near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 44.6 West. Joyce is moving toward the south near 8 mph (13 km/h). Joyce is forecast to slow its forward motion and turn eastward by tonight, and then accelerate northeastward over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast through Saturday. Joyce is then forecast to weaken to a depression Saturday night or Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#3
15th September 2018, 08:02
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number 10 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 PM AST Fri Sep 14 2018 ...JOYCE STILL STRENGTHENING... ...NOW MOVING EASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.6N 43.6W ABOUT 1040 MI...1670 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was located near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 43.6 West. Joyce is moving toward the east near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible tonight and tomorrow, but gradual weakening is forecast to begin by Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#4
15th September 2018, 18:55
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 AM AST Sat Sep 15 2018 ...JOYCE WEAKER AS IT TURNS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.0N 41.0W ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was located near latitude 32.0 North, longitude 41.0 West. Joyce is moving toward the east-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A faster east-northeast to northeast motion is expected during the next day or two. The storm should turn back to the east on Monday and to the southeast on Tuesday, away from the Azores. Satellite data indicate that maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is forecast during the next 72 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#5
16th September 2018, 07:45
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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Joyce Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 PM AST Sat Sep 15 2018 ...JOYCE MOVING EASTWARD AND WEAKENING..... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.4N 38.0W ABOUT 695 MI...1115 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Joyce was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 38.0 West. Joyce is moving toward the east near 17 mph (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue for the next day or so with a decrease in forward speed. After that time, the cyclone should turn east-southeast away from the Azores. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#6
16th September 2018, 17:00
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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Joyce Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 AM AST Sun Sep 16 2018 ...JOYCE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.7N 34.3W ABOUT 465 MI...750 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Joyce was located near latitude 34.7 North, longitude 34.3 West. The depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through tonight. After that time, the cyclone should slow down and turn toward the southeast and then the southwest away from the Azores. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected, and Joyce could degenerate into a trough or a remnant low within the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#7
17th September 2018, 07:14
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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Joyce Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 PM AST Sun Sep 16 2018 ...JOYCE REMAINS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 30.3W ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Joyce was located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 30.3 West. The depression is moving toward the east near 21 mph (33 km/h). The system should slow its forward speed while turning toward the southeast on Monday, south on Tuesday, and southwest on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and Joyce is expected to become a remnant low within the next two days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#8
17th September 2018, 17:13
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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Joyce Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 AM AST Mon Sep 17 2018 ...JOYCE CONTINUES TO LOSE ORGANIZATION... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.0N 28.4W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Joyce was located near latitude 34.0 North, longitude 28.4 West. The depression is moving toward the east-southeast near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this forward speed is expected to continue while turning toward the southeast today, south on Tuesday, and southwest on Wednesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours and Joyce is expected to become a remnant low tonight or Tuesday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#9
17th September 2018, 20:52
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These forecasts are very detailed and complicated.
Just tell us if is it going to rain in Dublin. Should I hoke under the stairs for my wellingtons? |
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#10
18th September 2018, 07:43
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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Joyce Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 PM AST Mon Sep 17 2018 ...JOYCE MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.2N 27.3W ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM S OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 155 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Joyce was located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 27.3 West. The depression is moving toward the south-southeast near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue tonight. A turn toward the south is forecast to begin on Tuesday, followed by a motion toward the southwest on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected overnight. Joyce is forecast to become a remnant low by Tuesday afternoon. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#12
18th September 2018, 08:52
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I understand but I'll still get the wellingtons and sou'wester ready.
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#13
18th September 2018, 15:20
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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Joyce Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 500 AM AST Tue Sep 18 2018 ...JOYCE CONTINUES MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AZORES... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.9N 27.6W ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM S OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 165 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Joyce was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 27.6 West. The depression is moving toward the south-southeast near 6 mph (9 km/h). A turn toward the south is forecast later today, followed by a motion toward the southwest on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Joyce is forecast to become a remnant low later today or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#14
18th September 2018, 20:15
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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Joyce Advisory Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1100 AM AST Tue Sep 18 2018 ...JOYCE STILL HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE FAR NORTHEASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.6N 27.4W ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM S OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 185 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Joyce was located near latitude 31.6 North, longitude 27.4 West. The depression is moving toward the south near 8 mph (13 km/h), and will gradually turn to the southwest and west over the next couple days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple days, and Joyce is forecast to become a remnant low tomorrow. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David |
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#15
19th September 2018, 07:21
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Final Warning
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Joyce Advisory Number 26 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102018 1100 PM AST Tue Sep 18 2018 ...JOYCE IS NOW A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.4N 27.9W ABOUT 525 MI...850 KM S OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 200 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Joyce was located near latitude 30.4 North, longitude 27.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the south-southwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A southwestward motion is expected on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is expected to dissipate within a couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Joyce. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graph...png/024042.png
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David Last edited by pompeyfan; 19th September 2018 at 07:35. |
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